Is it [again] the same comment of readers missing the distinction between 1‰ and 1% [and 8‰ versus 8%]…?!

]]>My goal in writing the post was primarily to address the absurdity of isolating these two identical draws from the myriad of other draws in order to conclude that there was nothing exceptional in this event when considering the correct universe. It is also possible to compute the probability of no repeated draw within one month with 8 draws over two years, as (modulo a possible flaw in my reasoning!)

where *n=2324784* is the number of combinations and *m=192* the total number of draws. This leads to a probability of *0.0006* of seeing twice the same draw within a month. This is of course much smaller than the probability of seeing a repeated draw at all, however, the month horizon is somehow arbitrary and someone could as well find a draw within six weeks or two months as exciting and “impossible”…