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Bayes’ Theorem in the 21st Century, really?!

June 20, 2013

“In place of past experience, frequentism considers future behavior: an optimal estimator is one that performs best in hypothetical repetitions of the current experiment. The resulting gain in scientific objectivity has carried the day…” Julien Cornebise sent me this Science column by Brad Efron about Bayes’ theorem. I am a tad surprised that it got […]

abstract for “Bayes’ Theorem: then and now”

March 19, 2013

Here is my abstract for the invited talk I will give at EMS 2013 in Budapest this summer (the first two banners were sites of EMS 2013 conferences as well, which came above the European Meeting of Statisticians on a Google search for EMS 2013): What is now called Bayes’ Theorem was published and maybe […]

Bayes’ Theorem

January 22, 2009

There is a very long and somehow windy—if often funny—introduction to Bayes’ theorem by a researcher in artificial intelligence. In particular, it contains several Java applets that shows how intuition about posterior probabilities can be wrong. The whole text is about constructing Bayes’ theorem for simple binomial outcomes with two possible causes. It is indeed […]

Bayes Rules! [book review]

July 5, 2022

Bayes Rules! is a new introductory textbook on Applied Bayesian Model(l)ing, written by Alicia Johnson (Macalester College), Miles Ott (Johnson & Johnson), and Mine Dogucu (University of California Irvine). Textbook sent to me by CRC Press for review. It is available (free) online as a website and has a github site, as well as a […]


May 16, 2021

Just heard via ISBA that the Cass Business School of City University London is changing its name to the Bayes Business School “after it was found (!) that some of Sir John Cass’s wealth was obtained through his links to the slave trade.” One of the school buildings is located on Bunhill Row, which leads […]