Archive for everyday probability

presidential election [snapshot]

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , , on March 6, 2012 by xi'an

(Heard on the public radio, from a presidential candidate whose ideas are close to mine’s, but who is definitely missing in quantitative as well as verbal skills!)

It has been shown that the probability of a major nuclear accident in France is of one out of six every ten years. It is like a gun where you put six bullets in the barrel and press the trigger every ten years.

(Hem…, no!)