**A**s I was in Paris and free for the occasion (!), I attended the Paris Statistics seminar this afternoon, in the Latin Quarter. With a first talk by Kweku Abraham on Bayesian inverse problems set a prior on the quantity of interest, γ, rather than its transform G(γ), observed with noise. Always perturbed by the juggling of different distances, like L² versus Kullback-Leibler, in non-parametric frameworks. Reminding me of probabilistic numerics, at least in the framework, since the crux of the talk was 100% about convergence. And a second talk by Leanaïc Chizat on convex neural networks corresponding to an infinite number of neurons, with surprising properties, including implicit bias. And a third talk by Anne Sabourin on PCA for extremes. Which assumed very little on the model but more on the geometry of the distribution, like extremes being concentrated on a subspace. As I was rather tired from an intense week at Warwick, and after a weekend of reading grant applications and Biometrika submissions (!), my foggy brain kept switching to these proposals, trying to make connections with the talks, not completely inappropriately in two cases out of three. (I am afraid the same may happen tomorrow at our probability seminar on computer-based proofs!)

## Archive for Institut Henri Poincaré

## séminaire P de S

Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags Biometrika, computer-based proof, extreme value theory, Institut Henri Poincaré, neural network, Paris, probabilistic numerics, séminaire, seminar, stochastic gradient descent on February 18, 2020 by xi'an## ateliers statistiques bayésiens

Posted in Statistics with tags ABC, computational Bayesian methods, IHP, Institut Henri Poincaré, rStan, SFDS, Société française de Statistique, STAN on July 18, 2019 by xi'an**T**he French Statistical Association is running a training workshop on practical computational Bayesian methods on 10-12 September 2019 in Paris (IHP), animated by **Sylvain LE CORFF** (Telecom SudParis – Institut Polytechnique de Paris) for the initiation to « rstan », by **Matthieu AUTHIER** (Université de La Rochelle).

## graphe, graphons, graphez !

Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags graphs, Institut Henri Poincaré, mathematical statistics, Paris, phase transition, SFDS, variational Bayes methods on December 3, 2018 by xi'an## computational statistics and molecular simulation [18w5023]

Posted in pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags 18w5023, BIRS, Casa Matemática Oaxaca, CMO, computational statistics, HMC, hypocoercivity, Institut Henri Poincaré, Mexico, molecular dynamics, Monte Carlos Statistical Methods, overdamped Langevin algorithm, PDMP, workshop on November 16, 2018 by xi'an**T**his Thursday, our X fertilisation workshop at the interface between molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo statistical methods saw a wee bit of reduction in the audience as some participants had already left Oaxaca. Meaning they missed the talk of Christophe Andrieu on hypocoercivity which could have been another hand-on lecture, given the highly pedagogical contents of the talk. I had seen some parts of the talk in MCqMC 2018 in Rennes and at NUS, but still enjoyed the whole of it very much, and so did the audience given the induced discussion. For instance, previously, I had not seen the connection between the guided random walks of Gustafson and Diaconis, and continuous time processes like PDMP. Which Christophe also covered in his talk. (Also making me realise my colleague Jean Dolbeault in Dauphine was strongly involved in the theoretical analysis of PDMPs!) Then Samuel Power gave another perspective on PDMPs. With another augmentation, connected with time, what he calls trajectorial reversibility. This has the impact of diminishing the event rate, but creates some kind of reversibility which seems to go against the motivation for PDMPs. (Remember that all talks are available as videos on the BIRS webpage.) A remark in the talk worth reiterating is the importance of figuring out which kinds of approximations are acceptable in these approximations. Connecting somewhat with the next talk by Luc Rey-Bellet on a theory of robust approximations. In the sense of Poincaré, Gibbs, Bernstein, &tc. concentration inequalities and large deviations. With applications to rare events.The fourth and final “hand-on” session was run by Miranda Holmes-Certon on simulating under constraints. Motivated by research on colloids. For which the overdamp Langevin diffusion applies as an accurate model, surprisingly. Which makes a major change from the other talks [most of the workshop!] relying on this diffusion. (With an interesting intermede on molecular velcro made of DNA strands.) Connected with this example, exotic energy landscapes are better described by hard constraints. (Potentially interesting extension to the case when there are too many constraints to explore all of them?) Now, the definition of the measure projected on the manifold defined by the constraints is obviously an important step in simulating the distribution, which density is induced by the gradient of the constraints ∇q(x). The proposed algorithm is in the same spirit as the one presented by Tony the previous day, namely moving along the tangent space then on the normal space to get back to the manifold. A solution that causes issues when the gradient is (near) zero. A great hand-on session which induced massive feedback from the audience.

In the afternoon session, Gersende Fort gave a talk on a generalisation of the Wang-Landau algorithm, which modifies the true weights of the elements of a partition of the sampling space, to increase visits to low [probability] elements and jumps between modes. The idea is to rely on tempered versions of the original weights, learned by stochastic approximation. With an extra layer of adaptivity. Leading to an improvement with parameters that depends on the phase of the stochastic approximation. The second talk was by David Sanders on a recent paper in *Chaos* about importance sampling for rare events of (deterministic) billiard dynamics. With diffusive limits which tails are hard to evaluate, except by importance sampling. And the last talk of the day was by Anton Martinsson on simulated tempering for a molecular alignment problem. With weights of different temperatures proportional to the inverse of the corresponding normalising constants, which themselves can be learned by a form of bridge sampling if I got it right.

On a very minor note, I heard at breakfast a pretty good story from a fellow participant having to give a talk at a conference that was moved to a very early time in the morning due to an official appearing at a later time and as a result “enjoying” a very small audience to the point that a cleaning lady appeared and started cleaning the board as she could not conceive the talks had already started! Reminding me of this picture at IHP.

## la maison des mathématiques

Posted in Books, Kids, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags Akashic Books, book review, exhibit, IHP, Institut Henri Poincaré, la maison des mathématiques, Paris, photograph, Vincent Moncorgé on January 14, 2017 by xi'an**W**hen I worked with Jean-Michel Marin at Institut Henri Poincaré the week before Xmas, there was this framed picture standing on the ground, possibly in preparation for exhibition in the Institute. I found this superposition of the lady cleaning the blackboard from its maths formulas and of the seemingly unaware mathematician both compelling visually in the sheer geometric aesthetics of the act and somewhat appalling in its message. Especially when considering the initiatives taken by IHP towards reducing the gender gap in maths. After inquiring into the issue, I found that this picture was part of a whole photograph exhibit on IHP by Vincent Moncorgé, now published into a book, La Maison des Mathématiques by Villani, Uzan, and Moncorgé. Most pictures are on-line and I found them quite appealing. Except again for the above.

## Rémi Bardenet’s seminar

Posted in Kids, pictures, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags ABC in Roma, big data, BiPS, CREST, defense, ENSAE, Institut Henri Poincaré, MCMC algorithms, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, Nicolas Chopin, PhD thesis, quasi-Monte Carlo methods, seminar, tall data on April 7, 2016 by xi'an**N**ext week, Rémi Bardenet is giving a seminar in Paris, Thursday April 14, 2pm, in ENSAE [room 15] on MCMC methods for tall data. Unfortunately, I will miss this opportunity to discuss with Rémi as I will be heading to La Sapienza, Roma, for Clara Grazian‘s PhD defence the next day. And on Monday afternoon, April 11, Nicolas Chopin will give a talk on quasi-Monte Carlo for sequential problems at Institut Henri Poincaré.

## last Big MC [seminar] before summer [June 19, 3pm]

Posted in pictures, Statistics, University life with tags ABC, Big'MC, Chris Holmes, IHP, Institut Henri Poincaré, machine learning, Monte Carlo s, Montpellier, Paris, Pierre Pudlo, seminar, University of Oxford on June 17, 2014 by xi'an**L**ast session of our Big’MC seminar at Institut Henri Poincaré this year, on ~~Tuesday~~** Thursday**, **June 19**, with

Chris Holmes (Oxford) at 3pm on

Robust statistical decisions via re-weighted Monte Carlo samplesand Pierre Pudlo (iC3M, Université de Montpellier 2) at 4:15pm on [our joint work]

ABC and machine learning