Archive for United Nations

Tigray emergency

Posted in Kids with tags , , , , , , , , , on August 23, 2022 by xi'an

bad news for reproductive rights

Posted in Kids, pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , on June 20, 2022 by xi'an

Last week, when reading about Japan [late in] coming close validating drug induced abortion, I found out that both surgical and medical abortions in Japan do require [by law] the consent of the woman’s partner! As denounced by both the World Health Organisation and the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women, this is an appalling restriction, a violation of reproductive rights, and  a potential tool for partner abuse.

And then came the news of Poland setting a database of pregnancies, reported by medical personnel. Which is of course worrying in a country where abortion is essentially illegal. As the über conservative Polish authorities could use the database to hunt and prosecute women who have self-administered abortions….

Meanwhile, Oklahoma governor just signed a law making abortion illegal at conception, following another law turning abortion practice into a felony… Not even waiting for the SCOTUS [likely] abrogation of Roe v. Wade.

Прусские ночи [sexual war crimes]

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on April 15, 2022 by xi'an

The mounting evidence of of mass rapes and sexual war crimes perpetuated by Russian soldiers in Ukraine has led the [appallingly ineffective] U.N. to call for investigation

The allegations of sexual violence raise serious questions about possible war crimes. International humanitarian and human rights law, which categorically prohibit rape and all forms of sexual violence and inhumane treatment, must be fully complied with by all parties to the conflict. Orders should be immediately issued through their respective chains of command prohibiting rape and other forms of sexual violence, with concrete, timebound preventive measures as explicitly outlined in Security Council resolutions 2106 and 2467.

and is a reminder of the systematic policy of mass rape enforced by the Red Army in its advance through East Germany in 1945. As recalled in the Prussian Nights poem of Solzhenitsyn, who witnessed these crimes as a artillery captain in the Soviet offensive towards Berlin. (He was arrested three weeks after the offensive had started and sent to a gulag.)

Дом не жжен, но трепан, граблен.
Чей-то стон стеной ослаблен :
Мать – не на смерть. На матрасе,
Рота, взвод ли побывал –
Дочь-девчонка наповал.
Сведено к словам простым :
НЕ ЗАБУДЕМ ! НЕ ПРОСТИМ !
КРОВЬ ЗА КРОВЬ и зуб за зуб !

—Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn: from Prussian Nights (1974)

total elimination of nuclear weapons

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , on September 26, 2021 by xi'an

Adrian Raftery’s course in Paris

Posted in Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , on July 30, 2021 by xi'an
UW Professor and U.S. National Academy of Sciences member Adrian Raftery has received the 2020 FSMP research chair and as a result will be visiting Paris this Fall 2021. He will be located at the MAP5 laboratory at the University of Paris. In particular, he will give a 20-hour Master course on statistical semography. This will be given over four successive Tuesdays, with 5 hours of lectures per week. The course is open to all. Attendance is free of charge but registration is mandatory. (To register, please fill the attached form. Lectures will be given in the salle du conseil, on the 7ft floor of the Saint-Germain-des-Prés campus, 45 rue des Saints-Pères, 75006 Paris.)
Demography aims to estimate and forecast population, fertility, mortality and migration. This is important for government policy-making, private sector planning, and research in the health and social sciences, and also critical for climate science and global health. It has traditionally been done using deterministic mathematical methods, but these ignore uncertainty and measurement error.  In the past decade, modern statistical methods were developed for this by our group at the University of Washington, and these were recently adopted by the  United Nations for their official population forecasts for all countries.  Statistical demography is expanding rapidly,  and this course will teach theory and practice of  methods and models of the field, with a focus on current and potential future research.
The topics will be:
1. Review of basic mathematical demographic methods.
2. Modeling age-specific rates, including model schedules and Lee-Carter method.
3. Statistical modeling and projection of fertility, mortality, migration and population.
4. Reconstructing population and vital rates from imperfect data.
%d bloggers like this: