Archive for United Nations

total elimination of nuclear weapons

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , on September 26, 2021 by xi'an

Adrian Raftery’s course in Paris

Posted in Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , on July 30, 2021 by xi'an
UW Professor and U.S. National Academy of Sciences member Adrian Raftery has received the 2020 FSMP research chair and as a result will be visiting Paris this Fall 2021. He will be located at the MAP5 laboratory at the University of Paris. In particular, he will give a 20-hour Master course on statistical semography. This will be given over four successive Tuesdays, with 5 hours of lectures per week. The course is open to all. Attendance is free of charge but registration is mandatory. (To register, please fill the attached form. Lectures will be given in the salle du conseil, on the 7ft floor of the Saint-Germain-des-Prés campus, 45 rue des Saints-Pères, 75006 Paris.)
Demography aims to estimate and forecast population, fertility, mortality and migration. This is important for government policy-making, private sector planning, and research in the health and social sciences, and also critical for climate science and global health. It has traditionally been done using deterministic mathematical methods, but these ignore uncertainty and measurement error.  In the past decade, modern statistical methods were developed for this by our group at the University of Washington, and these were recently adopted by the  United Nations for their official population forecasts for all countries.  Statistical demography is expanding rapidly,  and this course will teach theory and practice of  methods and models of the field, with a focus on current and potential future research.
The topics will be:
1. Review of basic mathematical demographic methods.
2. Modeling age-specific rates, including model schedules and Lee-Carter method.
3. Statistical modeling and projection of fertility, mortality, migration and population.
4. Reconstructing population and vital rates from imperfect data.

UN World Refugee Day

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , on June 20, 2021 by xi'an

my body is my own [UNFPA report]

Posted in Books, Kids, Statistics with tags , , , , , , , on April 20, 2021 by xi'an

Today, the United Nation Population Fund published its 2021 State of World Population report, entitled My Body is My Own.

“The report examines data on women’s decision-making power and on laws supportive of sexual and reproductive health and rights. Tragically, only 55 per cent of women have bodily autonomy, according to measurements of their ability to make their own decisions on issues relating to health care, contraception and whether to have sex.”

Countradicting seven myths about bodily autonomy:

  1. it is a Western concept
  2. there is no universal right to bodily autonomy
  3. it represents radical individualism; it undermines group decision-making
  4. one person’s bodily autonomy could end up undermining the autonomy of others
  5. some groups of people are not entitled to bodily autonomy
  6. it undermines traditions and religions
  7. it is “just another” women’s issue

and presenting (incomplete) data on the overwhelming proportion of countries with bodily lack of autonomy.

“These data are only available in about one in four countries, but they paint an alarming picture: only 55 per cent of girls and women are able to make their own decisions in all three dimensions of bodily autonomy.”

what the whale?! [“whales eat carbon, not fish”]

Posted in Kids, pictures, Travel with tags , , , , , , , , , , on February 21, 2021 by xi'an

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