rise of the B word

comparison of the uses of the words Bayesian, maximum likelihood, and frequentist, using Google NgramWhile preparing a book chapter, I checked on Google Ngram viewer the comparative uses of the words Bayesian (blue), maximum likelihood (red) and frequentist (yellow), producing the above (screen-copy quality, I am afraid!). It shows an increase of the use of the B word from the early 80′s and not the sudden rise in the 90′s I was expecting. The inclusion of “frequentist” is definitely in the joking mode, as this is not a qualification used by frequentists to describe their methods. In other words (!), “frequentist” does not occur very often in frequentist papers (and not as often as in Bayesian papers!)…

5 Responses to “rise of the B word”

  1. David Manheim Says:

    More interesting is this set of graphs:
    http://books.google.com/ngrams/graph?content=bayesian%2C+prior+distribution%2Cposterior+distribution%2Cp-value%2Ct-test&year_start=1920&year_end=2008&corpus=15&smoothing=3&share=

    It seems that people have started publishing more about statistics, but the relative rate of growth of the different terms seems indicative that in publishing, bayesian methods are still WAY behind, in terms of times they are mentioned.

  2. Google Trends is much more pessimistic than Google N Grams :
    http://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=bayesian,%20frequentist,%20maximum%20likelihood

    Google Trends index is a measure of search intensity on google, not of the use of the word in books and/or articles.

    By the way, it is not clear if recent scientific publications are included in Google N Grams.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 558 other followers