on the Jeffreys-Lindley’s paradox (revision)
As mentioned here a few days ago, I have been revising my paper on the Jeffreys-Lindley’s paradox paper for Philosophy of Science. It came as a bit of a (very pleasant) surprise that this journal was ready to consider a revised version of the paper given that I have no formal training in philosophy and that the (first version of the) paper was rather hurriedly made of a short text written for the 95th birthday of Dennis Lindley and of my blog post on Aris Spanos’ “Who should be afraid of the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox?“, recently published in Philosophy of Science. So I found both reviewers very supportive and I am grateful for their suggestions to improve both the scope and the presentation of the paper. It has been resubmitted and rearXived, and I am now waiting for the decision of the editorial team with the appropriate philosophical sense of detachment…
December 4, 2013 at 5:56 pm
Christian, you report that the ESP example of Sprenger involved a p-value of 0.003 and Bayes factor of 12. This looks suspiciously like my example, based on actual data, except that the p-value was 0.0003, not 0.003. See:
Click to access 10.%20Bayesian%20Hypothesis%20Testing.pdf
starting at about Chart 60.
The example was published here:
W.H. Jefferys, “Bayesian Analysis of Random Event Generator Data,” Journal of Scientific Exploration 4,153-169 (1991). Erratum in Journal of Scientific Exploration 8, 255-256 (1994).
This is available on the web by going to that journal’s website.
December 4, 2013 at 5:57 pm
Addendum: This example was binomial data and the prior was beta, hence proper.
September 17, 2013 at 5:04 am
Christian, the link “my paper” does not work. It leads to a page where I am supposed to hunt for the paper.
September 17, 2013 at 9:05 am
Thank you, Bill, I added the http:// that was missing…