on the Jeffreys-Lindley’s paradox (revision)

As mentioned here a few days ago, I have been revising my paper on the Jeffreys-Lindley’s paradox paper for Philosophy of Science. It came as a bit of a (very pleasant) surprise that this journal was ready to consider a revised version of the paper given that I have no formal training in philosophy and that the (first version of the) paper was rather hurriedly made of a short text written for the 95th birthday of Dennis Lindley and of my blog post on Aris Spanos’ “Who should be afraid of the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox?“, recently published in Philosophy of Science.  So I found both reviewers very supportive and I am grateful for their suggestions to improve both the scope and the presentation of the paper. It has been resubmitted and rearXived, and I am now waiting for the decision of the editorial team with the appropriate philosophical sense of detachment…

4 Responses to “on the Jeffreys-Lindley’s paradox (revision)”

  1. Christian, you report that the ESP example of Sprenger involved a p-value of 0.003 and Bayes factor of 12. This looks suspiciously like my example, based on actual data, except that the p-value was 0.0003, not 0.003. See:


    starting at about Chart 60.

    The example was published here:

    W.H. Jefferys, “Bayesian Analysis of Random Event Generator Data,” Journal of Scientific Exploration 4,153-169 (1991). Erratum in Journal of Scientific Exploration 8, 255-256 (1994).

    This is available on the web by going to that journal’s website.

  2. Christian, the link “my paper” does not work. It leads to a page where I am supposed to hunt for the paper.

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