Archive for thunderstorm

1500th, 3000th, &tc

Posted in Books, R, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 8, 2012 by xi'an

As the ‘Og reached its 1500th post and 3000th comment at exactly the same time, a wee and only mildly interesting Sunday morning foray in what was posted so far and attracted the most attention (using the statistics provided by wordpress). The most visited posts:

Title Views
Home page 203,727
In{s}a(ne)!! 7,422
“simply start over and build something better” 6,264
Julien on R shortcomings 2,676
Sudoku via simulated annealing 2,402
About 1,876
Of black swans and bleak prospects 1,768
Solution manual to Bayesian Core on-line 1,628
Parallel processing of independent Metropolis-Hastings algorithms 1,625
Bayesian p-values 1,595
Bayes’ Theorem 1,537
#2 blog for the statistics geek?! 1,526
Do we need an integrated Bayesian/likelihood inference? 1,501
Coincidence in lotteries 1,396
Solution manual for Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R 1,340
Julian Besag 1945-2010 1,293
Tornado in Central Park 1,093
The Search for Certainty 1,016

Hence, three R posts (incl. one by Julien and one by Ross Ihaka), three (critical) book reviews, two solution manuals, two general Bayesian posts, two computational entries, one paper (with Pierre Jacob and Murray Smith), one obituary, and one photograph news report… Altogether in line with the main purpose of the ‘Og. The most commented posts:

Post Comments
In{s}a(ne)!! 31
“simply start over and build something better” 30
That the likelihood principle does not hold… 23
Incoherent inference 23
Lack of confidence in ABC model choice 20
Parallel processing of independent Metropolis-Hastings algorithms 19
ABC model choice not to be trusted 17
MCMC with errors 16
Coincidence in lotteries 16
Bessel integral 14
Numerical analysis for statisticians 14

Not exactly the same as above! In particular, the posts about ABC model choice and our PNAS paper got into the list. At last, the top search terms:

Search Views
surfers paradise 1,050
benidorm 914
introducing monte carlo methods with r 514
andrew wyeth 398
mistborn 352
abele blanc 350
nested sampling 269
particle mcmc 269
bayesian p-value 263
julian besag 257
rites of love and math 249
millenium 237
bayesian p value 222
marie curie 221
bonsai 200

(out of which I removed the dozens of variations on xian’s blog). I find it rather sad that both top entries are beach towns that are completely unrelated to my lifestyle and to my vacation places. Overall, more than a  half of those entries do not strongly relate to the contents of the ‘Og (even though I did post at length about Saunderson’s Mistborn and Larsson’s Millenium trilogies). At last, the most popular clicks are

URL Clicks
amazon.com/gp/product/1441915753?ie=UTF8&tag=chrprobboo-20&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=390957&creativeASIN=1441915753 1,243
stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/mlm 1,039
terrytao.wordpress.com 583
amazon.com/gp/product/0387389792?ie=UTF8&tag=chrprobboo-20&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=0387389792 575
arxiv.org/abs/1012.2184 531
radfordneal.wordpress.com/2010/08/15/two-surpising-things-about-r 529
romainfrancois.blog.free.fr 505
statisfaction.wordpress.com 404
ceremade.dauphine.fr/~xian/basudo.R 395
stackoverflow.com/questions/3706990/is-r-that-bad-that-it-should-be-rewritten-from-scratch 372
amazon.com/gp/product/0387212396?ie=UTF8&tag=chrprobboo-20&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=0387212396 298
radfordneal.wordpress.com/2010/09/03/fourteen-patches-to-speed-up-r 298
cs.ubc.ca/~cornebis 288
statisticsforum.wordpress.com 282
arxiv.org/abs/1001.2906 279
arxiv.org/abs/1010.1595 257
amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8&location=http://www.amazon.com/gp/entity/-/B001H6GSKC&tag=chrprobboo-20&linkCode=ur2&camp=1789&creative=390957 256
ceremade.dauphine.fr/~xian/BCS/solutions.pdf 253
rss.org.uk/main.asp?page=3005 243
www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/fulltext/119424936/PDFSTART 216
stat.auckland.ac.nz/~ihaka/downloads/Compstat-2008.pdf 203

which include links to my books on Amazon, Andrew Gelman’s, Terry Tao’s, Radford Neal’s and Romain François’s blogs, the CREST stat students collective blog, and a few arXiv papers of mine’s…

t’was a dark and stormy night [not yet]

Posted in pictures with tags , on August 28, 2011 by xi'an

Night vision

Posted in Kids, pictures with tags , on June 19, 2011 by xi'an

Brownian motion with drift (oops!)

Posted in pictures with tags , on June 13, 2011 by xi'an

A  lightning strike where I think I moved the camera, adding drift to the original Brownian motion (or the reverse)…

t’was a dark and stormy night [2]

Posted in Kids, pictures with tags , , on June 11, 2011 by xi'an


Here are some pictures of the same dark and stormy night taken by my daughter using a rafale mode. This makes for different colors and grains…

t’was a dark and stormy night

Posted in pictures with tags , , , on June 9, 2011 by xi'an

As the announced storm broke on top of my house, my daughter and I rushed to our cameras and tried to catch a few lightning strikes. I found a option on my old Konica that would keep its aperture open for 4 seconds and by clicking continuously I managed to catch a few chance pictures… out of the 200 or so tries.

[wet] impressions from the frontier

Posted in Running, Travel with tags , , , on March 21, 2010 by xi'an

This morning, before going runnin, I took a look by my hotel window and noticed the road below was wet. Since there were warnings of a thunderstorm, I  checked on a website the current forecast—taking advantage of an opening in the local networks!— and saw that the local conditons were a “light drizzle”. When I went out, it was hardly drizzling, indeed, and so I went on my “usual” round following the riverwalk for about two miles. At the turning point—an underbridge with huge fish sculptures hanging from the bridge—, rain started to fall rather heavily and on the way back I soon found myself in the midst of a thunderstorm! I had to stop under a bridge to wait for the rain to abate and the storm front to move away. After a few minutes, the strength of the rain went down but by then the riverwalk had turned into a river and stairs into cascades, the river being below street level. At some point, the flow of water falling from the street was so strong that I had to turn back to cross to the other side… This was thus an interesting experience, teaching to pay more attention in the future to storm warnings.

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