Archive for COVID-19

a journal of the plague and pestilence [and war] year

Posted in Books, Kids, Mountains, pictures, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on May 28, 2022 by xi'an

Received my first biking ticket ever, not for [cautiously!] Xing one of the 60⁺ red-lights on my bike route but for driving [most respectfully!] on the sidewalk in order to reach Dauphine as roads are currently under construction in the area, traffic is a mess, and bike lanes are closed. Had I realised this was at all possible (considering the absence of sanctions on reckless car and truck drivers!), I would have stopped before reaching the Paris traffic police which was already ticketing another cyclist.Read Upright Women Wanted [on Kindle, a courtesy gift from Tor] for just a few dozen pages and then almost gave up out of boredom! I found of limited literary or scenarist interest, despite its nominations to both Hugo and Locus Awards 2021, but finished it in the train to Roissy airport… I am still stuck (and much disappointed!) on the first pages of Susan Clarke’s Piranesi, as the story (?) takes place in an endless complex of empty rooms and the descriptions are endless. By comparison, the growing madness perspiring through the Gormenghast series is at least providing a leading line that makes it worth reading! Although it won the 2021 Women’s Prize for Fiction, and was praised everywhere and nominated for many prizes, imho, Piranesi stands as far as possible from Clarke’s earlier masterpiece Jonathan Strange & Mr. Norrell… I do not think I will manage to ever finish this book!

Cooked a batch of kouign amann but failed to include enough butter! Still eatable. And made a rather successful attempt at tortillas, following a NYT recipe.

Watched Witch at Court (마녀의 법정), which proposes a [of course] highly unrealistic story of an evil policeman turned politician and eventually being faced with his crimes by the daughter of one of his early victims. As often in K drama, everyone is connected to the case, with prosecutors being relatives of victims or culprits (but not bothered by conflicts of interest), red herrings abounding, and trial outcomes being decided on the flimsiest proofs. Nonetheless, this is the one series I (fast-forward) watched that addressed the most frontally women exploitation and sexual crimes.

a journal of the plague and pestilence year

Posted in Books, Kids, Mountains, pictures, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on May 5, 2022 by xi'an

Saw our fist Ukrainian applications for graduate studies at Dauphine, presumably numbers are going to rise in the coming weeks as the Russian aggression continues in the East and South of Ukraine…

Read The Unbroken by Cherae Clark, in part because it had been nominated for the 2022 Locus Award. The universe is vaguely inspired from the French colonisation of North Africa, with additional layers of magic and royals (the French occupation of Algeria actually started in 1830, during a monarchic intermede, but went full blast when the Republic resumed). And the central character is a colonial soldier, stolen from her parents at a young age and trained in the dominating kingdom, called Balladaire. (This sounds vaguely French if meaningless in the vernacular and there are a few French locations in the story. The suppression of religion in the empire could also be inspired from the French secular laws of the late 19th Century, even though it is unclear to me that secularism was at all enforced in North Africa, witness the existence of muslim courts, as most inhabitants were not French citizens.) While this could have been a great setting, the story falls flat (and even one-dimensional) as it is driven by a tiny number of characters that sadly lack in depth. To the extent of feeling like a school-yard conflict.

Cooked mostly curried butternut soups over the past month! And just restarted making radish stem pancakes as radishes are back on market stalls, often at a bargain.  Plus made an attempt at panak paneer and aloo gobi, just missing the paneer (I did not have time to make) and using mascarpone instead!

Watched Partners for Justice (검법남녀) a sort of Korean NCIS, between judicial prosecution and legal medicine, pleasant enough if burdened by too many coincidences and plenty of red herrings. Especially the second season, with darker sides of corruption, murder, and child abuse. A shocking moment was when the young (and central) prosecutor asks for death penalty during a trial, as I had not realised capital punishment was still a possibility in Korea (although not implemented since 1997). There was also an episode with a schizophrenic suspect where the scenaric treatment of his condition was abyssal… Hopefully not reflecting on the societal perception.

Nous soignants, voterons Macron malgré nos désaccords [reposted from Libé]

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 20, 2022 by xi'an

Nous, acteurs de la lutte contre le Covid, nous voterons sans hésitation contre Marine Le Pen, en mettant dans l’urne un bulletin Emmanuel Macron le 24 avril. Notre vote sera d’abord un combat contre l’exclusion, le sectarisme, l’intolérance, le racisme et la xénophobie, qui ne peut souffrir aucune abstention. Les combats que nous avons menés et que nous mènerons encore pour que les principes d’expertise scientifique, de justification publique et de précaution sanitaire soient mieux respectés par l’exécutif ne nous détourneront pas du seul objectif qui nous semblera absolument prééminent le jour du vote : faire barrage à l’extrême droite.

Nous sommes du côté de ceux dont le nom est difficile à prononcer et nous savons que sans les soignants étrangers, le système de santé français ne tiendra pas. Nous savons ce que nous leur devons.

Oui, notre combat contre le Covid nous a souvent conduits à dénoncer certains choix gouvernementaux que nous jugeons imprudents. Au nom des cent personnes qui, en France, meurent actuellement chaque jour du Covid, au nom des 1 700 patients qui entrent à l’hôpital quotidiennement, au nom des 20 000 enfants qui ont combattu le Covid à l’hôpital depuis mars 2020 après y avoir été souvent exposés dans leurs classes, au nom aussi de tous nos compatriotes affectés par des symptômes persistants du Covid dont l’exécutif paraît encore tout ignorer : nous pensons que l’optimisme qu’affiche désormais Emmanuel Macron face à ce virus est déplacé. Au nom de nos expertises respectives, en tant que soignants et en tant que chercheurs, nous dénonçons la trop faible détermination dont l’exécutif a fait preuve pour combattre le charlatanisme, prêtant une oreille souvent bien complaisante à ceux qui discréditent la connaissance scientifique et prêtent au masque ou au vaccin des vices imaginaires. Pour nous, la fin de l’obligation du port du masque en lieu clos aurait dû s’accompagner d’une pédagogie robuste et déterminée incitant chacun à continuer à le porter par souci de soi et des autres, alors que les messages individualistes laissant aux plus fragiles le soin de se protéger eux-mêmes nous révoltent. Aussi, nous attendons encore un investissement conséquent dans la qualité de l’air intérieur. Nos valeurs de solidarité avec les plus fragiles, notre confiance dans la science, le soin et la raison, notre foi dans l’action collective au service du bien commun guident notre engagement contre l’épidémie aussi bien que contre la stratégie actuelle de circulation virale sans freinage, adoptée sans justification publique et sans débat démocratique.

Sur ces combats, nous ne lâcherons certes pas. Mais pour ces combats, aussi, nous n’aurons aucune hésitation à faire barrage à la candidate d’extrême droite en mettant dans l’urne un bulletin pour Emmanuel Macron le 24 avril. «Objectivement, je pense que la crise aurait pu être très largement mieux gérée par Donald Trump», a-t-elle déclaré sur France Inter le 10 juin 2020. Comme avec son ami Bolsonaro, Marine Le Pen, face à la pandémie, ce serait la porte ouverte aux charlatans, l’incompétence et l’inconséquence, l’invocation sophiste de la liberté individuelle au mépris des plus vulnérables, le discrédit permanent jeté sur l’expertise et le progrès scientifique au profit de fascinations complotistes assumées. Ses valeurs la portent davantage à placer, comme elle a tenu à le faire savoir, un santon de Didier Raoult dans sa crèche de Noël et à acheter des vaccins russes qui n’ont jamais démontré leur efficacité, qu’à protéger nos enfants, nos âgés, nos concitoyens immunodéprimés face aux prochaines vagues.

Et ce ne sont, bien sûr, pas seulement les principes de la santé publique que l’extrême droite piétine. Pour nous, à l’heure du vote, il n’y aura pas de quitus à l’égard de l’exécutif, mais rien ne saurait pour nous justifier l’abstention face à un péril de cette nature.

which representation is best?

Posted in Statistics with tags , , , , on April 12, 2022 by xi'an

RSS COVID evidence sessions

Posted in Books, Statistics, Travel, University life with tags , , , , , on April 4, 2022 by xi'an

The Royal Statistical Society is launching a series of discussions linked with the UK Government handling of the COVID-19 pandemic (and of the related data):

  • Communication during the pandemic: Data, statistical analyses and modelling, 5 April
    Organising panel of David Spiegelhalter, Tom Chivers and Jen Rogers
    Register for the in-person or online event
  • Governments’ statistical resources, 3 May
    Organising panel of Simon Briscoe and Gavin Freeguard
  • Evidence and policy, 21 June
    Organising panel of Sylvia Richardson, Dani De Angelis and John Aston
  • Evaluation, 12 July
    Organising panel of Sheila Bird, Christl Donnelly and Max Parmar.

 

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