Here are my slides (or at least the current version thereof) for my talk in Hong Kong at the 2013 (59th ISI) World Statistical Congress. (I stopped embedding my slideshare links in the posts as they freeze my broswer. I wonder if anyone else experiences the same behaviour.)
This talk will feature in the History I: Jacob Bernoulli’s “Ars Conjectandi” and the emergence of probability invited paper session organised by Adam Jakubowski. While my own research connection with Bernoulli is at most tenuous, besides using the Law of Large Numbers and Bernoulli rv’s…, I [of course!] borrowed from earlier slides on our vanilla Rao-Blackwellisation paper (if only because of the Bernoulli factory connection!) and ask Mark Girolami for his Warwick slides on the Russian roulette (another Bernoulli factory connection!), before recycling my Budapest slides on ABC. The other talks in the session are by Edith Dudley Sylla on Ars Conjectandi and by Krzys Burdzy on his book The Search for Certainty. Book that I critically reviewed in Bayesian Analysis. This will be the first time I meet Krzys in person and I am looking forward to the opportunity!
Similar to last year, I am giving a series of lectures on simulation jointly as a Master course in Paris-Dauphine and as a 3rd year course in ENSAE. The course borrows from both the books Monte Carlo Statistical Methods and from Introduction to Monte Carlo Methods with R, with George Casella. Here are the three series of slides I will use throughout the course this year, mostly for the benefit of the students:
(the last series is much improved when compared with an earlier version, thanks to Olivier Cappé!)
I am back in Bristol just a few months after an earlier SuSTain workshop. (During my Spring UK trip to Bristol, Glasgow, and Edinburgh…) The theme of the workshop is Structure and uncertainty modelling, inference and computation in complex stochastic systems. And it enjoys a very rich program over the four days! I am talking about ABC and empirical likelihood, with the following slides I just completed:
Unsurprisingly, those slides borrow both from my earlier talks in Kyoto and Australia, and from Pierre Purdlo’s earlier talk on this paper… (I also added pictures of some of the hikes and climbs Peter Green and I survived together!)
I alas arrived too late for today’s sessions, having to give the opening lecture at my Statistics Master in Paris-Dauphine. (I will also alas miss half of Thursday’s talks!) As I am staying at the Avon Gorge Hotel, just next to the bridge, I took the opportunity of some remaining daylight to go running across Brunel’s bridge and into the nearby park of Leigh Woods. It happened to be very muddy thanks to the torrential rains of the morning, but it was a good way to test my recovering knee (after a minor bike fall last week!) on a long run… And it apparently held, although tomorrow morning run will tell for sure.
Here is an email from SlideShare I received yesterday:
Congrats! Your documents on SlideShare have had 100,000 views. Wow! You must be doing something right.
Only an exceptionally few reach this milestone.
Find out where your viewers are coming from. Sign up for one month free trial of SlideShare PRO account.
I wonder how much of a spam this is: with 69 presentations on line, this would mean each is viewed 1500 times, which sounds difficult to believe….
On Thursday, March 29th, I will travel to London, at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), to participate to an afternoon on Model selection for genetic and epidemiological data. The afternoon starts at 13:30 and takes place in the Manson Lecture Theatre in Gower Street (and walking distance from St Pancras!). I will give roughly the same talk as in Banff last week, with a wee more background on ABC…
This afternoon, I completely botched my talk at the workshop “Méthodes de Monte Carlo pour les problèmes inverses bayésiens en traitement des signaux et des images” thanks to a weird mishap on slideshare. As Og’s readers are aware, I am a big fan of slideshare as a public depository for my slides. However, when I uploaded my talk this morning, “something” happens with the pdf file in that, while I was seeing a regular talk on my own computer (using acroread Paris.pdf), the output of the file on slideshare was missing integrals, sum and products! This was most embarrassing for me and most inconvenient for the audience as I had to explain over and over the meaning of the missing symbols… I could have stopped the talk and gathered the pdf file from my laptop, of course, but this was the last session of a busy day, I was not sure the original was all-right ,and I had no USB key nor power plug with me… The audience was much sympathetic than I would have been myself. Apologies to all! The most bizarre thing is that I have been trying to reproduce the phenomenon since then, but to no avail. Every version I have downloaded from this afternoon onwards contains the right symbols (on my screen). Maybe it was due to the resolution of the local computer I was using for my presentation as it could not produce a full screen output… Anyway, an embarrassment I could have done without! (The title of this post is inspired from a famous crime story in southern France where the victim supposedly wrote “Omar m’a tuer” on a wall with her blood, committing a very unlikely grammatical mistake… This erroneous sentence became almost immediately part of the urban culture. I once got a “Robert m’a tuer…” as a course evaluation the only year I gave a course on classical testing!!! A movie on the crime came out recently.)