Archive for discrepancies

simulation as optimization [by kernel gradient descent]

Posted in Books, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 13, 2024 by xi'an

Yesterday, which proved an unseasonal bright, warm, day, I biked (with a new wheel!) to the east of Paris—in the Gare de Lyon district where I lived for three years in the 1980’s—to attend a Mokaplan seminar at INRIA Paris, where Anna Korba (CREST, to which I am also affiliated) talked about sampling through optimization of discrepancies.
This proved a most formative hour as I had not seen this perspective earlier (or possibly had forgotten about it). Except through some of the talks at the Flatiron Institute on Transport, Diffusions, and Sampling last year. Incl. Marilou Gabrié’s and Arnaud Doucet’s.
The concept behind remains attractive to me, at least conceptually, since it consists in approximating the target distribution, known up to a constant (a setting I have always felt standard simulation techniques was not exploiting to the maximum) or through a sample (a setting less convincing since the sample from the target is already there), via a sequence of (particle approximated) distributions when using the discrepancy between the current distribution and the target or gradient thereof to move the particles. (With no randomness in the Kernel Stein Discrepancy Descent algorithm.)
Ana Korba spoke about practically running the algorithm, as well as about convexity properties and some convergence results (with mixed performances for the Stein kernel, as opposed to SVGD). I remain definitely curious about the method like the (ergodic) distribution of the endpoints, the actual gain against an MCMC sample when accounting for computing time, the improvement above the empirical distribution when using a sample from π and its ecdf as the substitute for π, and the meaning of an error estimation in this context.

“exponential convergence (of the KL) for the SVGD gradient flow does not hold whenever π has exponential tails and the derivatives of ∇ log π and k grow at most at a polynomial rate”

Measuring statistical evidence using relative belief [book review]

Posted in Books, Statistics, University life with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 22, 2015 by xi'an

“It is necessary to be vigilant to ensure that attempts to be mathematically general do not lead us to introduce absurdities into discussions of inference.” (p.8)

This new book by Michael Evans (Toronto) summarises his views on statistical evidence (expanded in a large number of papers), which are a quite unique mix of Bayesian  principles and less-Bayesian methodologies. I am quite glad I could receive a version of the book before it was published by CRC Press, thanks to Rob Carver (and Keith O’Rourke for warning me about it). [Warning: this is a rather long review and post, so readers may chose to opt out now!]

“The Bayes factor does not behave appropriately as a measure of belief, but it does behave appropriately as a measure of evidence.” (p.87)

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